Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 84.926434 94.891387 105.077471 116.237899 128.092105 140.279076 153.726577
2025-01-19 67.159638 81.221297 96.250301 113.384719 132.258942 152.304691 175.094638
2025-01-26 60.310785 77.094903 95.587851 117.225559 141.610451 168.023639 198.583016
2025-02-02 54.527606 73.273892 94.491794 119.874395 149.026820 181.111514 218.751524
2025-02-09 47.774106 67.573585 90.598073 118.743812 151.657040 188.421742 232.102125
2025-02-16 42.088879 62.596157 87.071869 117.600887 153.890815 194.966868 244.315223
2025-02-23 38.253269 59.539582 85.540010 118.542039 158.320154 203.842960 259.035176
2025-03-02 34.417921 56.148647 83.323347 118.417117 161.290219 210.873815 271.509347
2025-03-09 31.408179 53.583207 81.930183 119.119694 165.104637 218.783231 284.921731
2025-03-16 27.908471 50.072673 79.103585 117.843838 166.362379 223.550342 294.562018
2025-03-23 25.939158 48.523364 78.696474 119.509555 171.137582 232.448032 309.032027
2025-03-30 24.395997 47.455234 78.831119 121.793318 176.626038 242.173460 324.476121
2025-04-06 21.734982 44.580332 76.431851 120.746377 177.955397 246.918995 334.078846
2025-04-13 18.792387 41.029429 72.916593 118.082096 177.129078 248.960062 340.385111
2025-04-20 18.184872 41.065071 74.367274 121.977227 184.622219 261.182466 358.971772
2025-04-27 17.274359 40.536538 74.966662 124.697287 190.595538 271.536125 375.315811
2025-05-04 15.334467 38.148929 72.771949 123.538117 191.496333 275.566994 383.945857
2025-05-11 13.572213 35.892404 70.643697 122.367403 192.302493 279.422608 392.320866
2025-05-18 12.499565 34.745061 70.095877 123.331554 195.866864 286.706932 404.892745
2025-05-25 11.256973 33.168401 68.814173 123.203585 197.944798 292.094207 415.115612
2025-06-01 10.306548 32.044709 68.165479 123.923310 201.116770 298.846600 427.021638
2025-06-08 9.014384 30.112904 66.153125 122.616283 201.520549 302.045957 434.495501
2025-06-15 8.421608 29.528376 66.245966 124.322669 205.966985 310.397352 448.390642